Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002334 0.002472 0.002619 0.002789 0.002979 0.003188 0.003436
2025-02-02 0.002128 0.002320 0.002536 0.002800 0.003118 0.003496 0.003990
2025-02-09 0.002022 0.002254 0.002525 0.002874 0.003322 0.003895 0.004718
2025-02-16 0.001915 0.002169 0.002475 0.002884 0.003436 0.004187 0.005363
2025-02-23 0.001866 0.002145 0.002493 0.002976 0.003660 0.004660 0.006392
2025-03-02 0.001774 0.002059 0.002421 0.002936 0.003692 0.004850 0.007021
2025-03-09 0.001684 0.001968 0.002334 0.002865 0.003665 0.004939 0.007491
2025-03-16 0.001650 0.001947 0.002338 0.002920 0.003832 0.005375 0.008815
2025-03-23 0.001617 0.001924 0.002336 0.002964 0.003986 0.005818 0.010407
2025-03-30 0.001563 0.001870 0.002286 0.002932 0.004008 0.006019 0.011514
2025-04-06 0.001498 0.001798 0.002208 0.002849 0.003933 0.006009 0.012016
2025-04-13 0.001455 0.001755 0.002168 0.002823 0.003955 0.006206 0.013339
2025-04-20 0.001369 0.001651 0.002039 0.002654 0.003715 0.005824 0.012482
2025-04-27 0.001342 0.001628 0.002027 0.002672 0.003820 0.006230 0.015030
2025-05-04 0.001331 0.001627 0.002047 0.002743 0.004033 0.006957 0.020484
2025-05-11 0.001304 0.001603 0.002032 0.002753 0.004129 0.007431 0.026283
2025-05-18 0.001298 0.001608 0.002059 0.002837 0.004388 0.008473 0.044824
2025-05-25 0.001264 0.001570 0.002018 0.002801 0.004387 0.008733 0.058590
2025-06-01 0.001225 0.001524 0.001964 0.002735 0.004314 0.008738 0.068902
2025-06-08 0.001215 0.001520 0.001974 0.002786 0.004509 0.009767 0.215514
2025-06-15 0.001203 0.001512 0.001978 0.002826 0.004688 0.010879 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001177 0.001483 0.001947 0.002797 0.004694 0.011277 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001143 0.001440 0.001891 0.002720 0.004573 0.011047 NaN